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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4e8e\u662f\u6211\u5c31\u4ece\u91cc\u9762\u53d6\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u7403\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\u7403\uff08\u7b2c1\u6b21\u5b9e\u8bc1<\/strong>\uff09\uff0c\u8fd9\u65f6\u5019\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u624b\u91cc\u662fA\u7c7b\u578b\u7bb1\u5b50\u201d\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u662f77%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4e4b\u540e\u6211\u53c8\u4ece\u7bb1\u91cc\u9762\u53d6\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u7403\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd8\u662f\u7ea2\u8272\u7403\uff08\u7b2c2\u6b21\u5b9e\u8bc1<\/strong>\uff09\uff0c\u7528\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\u8ba1\u7b97\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u624b\u91cc\u662fA\u7c7b\u578b\u7bb1\u5b50\u201d\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u53d8\u6210\u4e8692%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u201c\u6211\u624b\u91cc\u7684\u7bb1\u5b50\u662fA\u7c7b\u578b\u7bb1\u5b50\u201d\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4fe1\u5ff5\uff0c\u6700\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u662f50%\uff0c\u4ece\u7bb1\u5b50\u91cc\u53d6\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ea2\u8272\u7403\uff08\u7b2c1\u6b21\u5b9e\u8bc1<\/strong>\uff09\u540e\uff0c\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u53d8\u6210\u4e8677%\uff0c\u518d\u53d6\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ea2\u8272\u7403\uff08\u7b2c2\u6b21\u5b9e\u8bc1<\/strong>\uff09\u540e\uff0c\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u53d8\u6210\u4e8692%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5e7f\u4e49\u76f8\u5bf9\u8bba\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u8ddf\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e00\u6a21\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u54c8\u52c3\u7ea2\u79fb\u5b9e\u9a8c\u3001\u5f15\u529b\u6ce2\u5b9e\u9a8c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u6210\uff0c\u4ece\u7bb1\u5b50\u91cc\u9762\u53d6\u7403\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u4ece\u7bb1\u5b50\u91cc\u9762\u53d6\u7403\uff0c\u66f4\u65b0\u201cA\u7c7b\u578b\u7bb1\u5b50\u201d\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff1b\u901a\u8fc7\u5f15\u529b\u6ce2\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u66f4\u65b0\u5e7f\u4e49\u76f8\u5bf9\u8bba\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u518d\u4e3e\u4e00\u4e2a\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff08\u770b\u4e0d\u61c2\u53ef\u4ee5\u8df3\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff09<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u572819\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u5bb6\u53d1\u73b0\u5929\u738b\u661f\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u8fd0\u884c\u8f68\u9053\uff0c\u4e0e\u725b\u987f\u4e07\u6709\u5f15\u529b\u5b9a\u5f8b\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u7684\u8f68\u9053\uff0c\u6709\u5fae\u5c0f\u4f46\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u504f\u79bb\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u7528\u91cd\u65b0\u8bc4\u4f30\u201c\u4e07\u6709\u5f15\u529b\u80fd\u63cf\u8ff0\u5929\u738b\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u201d\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u5047\u8bbe\u6700\u5f00\u59cb\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\u662f99% \uff0c\u4e0b\u9762\u662f\u8ba1\u7b97\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u547d\u9898N\uff1a\u4e07\u6709\u5f15\u529b\u80fd\u6b63\u786e\u63cf\u8ff0\u5929\u738b\u661f\u8f68\u9053<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8bc1\u636eE\uff1a\u89c2\u6d4b\u5230\u5929\u738b\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u5fae\u5c0f\u4f46\u6301\u7eed\u201d\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u504f\u79bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5f15\u8d77\u504f\u79bb\u7684\u5e38\u89c1\u539f\u56e0\u6709\uff1a\u672a\u77e5\u5929\u4f53\u3001\u8d28\u91cf\u4f30\u8ba1\u8bef\u5dee\u3001\u6270\u52a8\u9879\u9057\u6f0f\u3001\u89c2\u6d4b\u7cfb\u7edf\u8bef\u5dee\u7b49\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u62c6\u6210\u4e24\u4e2a\u5b50\u60c5\u5f62\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\uff1a\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u884c\u661f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00acX\uff1a\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u6b64\u7c7b\u9057\u6f0f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7ed9\u4e2a\u201c\u5f53\u65f6\u5408\u7406\u201d\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1<\/strong>\uff1aP(X\u2223N)=0.1<\/strong>,<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5982\u679c\u725b\u987f\u5bf9\u4e14\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u9057\u6f0f\u7684\u5929\u4f53\uff0c\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u504f\u79bb\u5f53\u65f6\u6bd4\u8f83\u5e38\u89c1\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4f30\u8ba1\uff1aP(E\u2223N,X)=0.6<\/strong>\uff1b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5982\u679c\u725b\u987f\u5bf9\u4e14\u6ca1\u6709\u9057\u6f0f\u5929\u4f53\uff0c\u90a3\u51fa\u73b0\u8fd9\u79cd\u6301\u7eed\u504f\u79bb\u5c31\u5f88\u7f55\u89c1\uff08\u53ea\u5269\u6d4b\u91cf\/\u8ba1\u7b97\u8bef\u5dee\u7b49\uff09\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u4f30\u8ba1\uff1aP(E\u2223N,\u00acX)=0.001<\/strong>\uff1b<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e8e\u662f\u7528\u5168\u6982\u7387<\/strong>\u628aP(E\u2223N)\u5408\u6210\u51fa\u6765\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P(E\u2223N)=P(E\u2223N,X)P(X\u2223N)+P(E\u2223N,\u00acX)P(\u00acX\u2223N)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

=0.6\u00d70.1+0.001\u00d70.9=0.0609<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u518d\u7528\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\u66f4\u65b0\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u201c\u4e07\u6709\u5f15\u529b\u80fd\u63cf\u8ff0\u5929\u738b\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u201d\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ece99% \u88ab\u8fd9\u6761\u504f\u79bb\u8bc1\u636e \u964d\u4f4e\u5230\u4e86\u7ea6 92.3%<\/strong>\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u597d\u4e86\u603b\u7ed3\u4e00\u4e0b \u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u4e3b\u4e49\u79d1\u5b66\u89c2\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u90fd\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5b9e\u8bc1\u548c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u516c\u5f0f\u4e0d\u65ad\u8c03\u6574 \u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4fe1\u5ff5\u7684\u7f6e\u4fe1\u5ea6<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u4e3b\u4e49\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u4e0d\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u53e5\u5e9f\u8bdd\u561b\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u5f3a\u52bf\u7684\u201c\u79d1\u5b66\u89c2\u201d\u5462\uff1f\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u5f88\u591a\u201c\u79d1\u5b66\u5e95\u5c42\u7684\u54f2\u5b66\u95ee\u9898<\/strong>\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7b2c8\u90e8\u5206\uff1a\u79d1\u5b66\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5f31\u70b9\u2014\u2014\u4f11\u8c1f\u95ee\u9898<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f11\u8c1f\u95ee\u9898\u88ab\u8a89\u4e3a \u60ac\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u5934\u4e0a\u7684\u8fbe\u6469\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u4e4b\u5251\uff0c\u968f\u65f6\u90fd\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u6389\u4e0b\u6765\u628a\u79d1\u5b66\u5288\u6b7b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4f11\u8c1f\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u519c\u573a\u91cc\u6709\u4e00\u7fa4\u706b\u9e21\uff0c\u519c\u573a\u4e3b\u6bcf\u5929\u4e0a\u534810\u70b9<\/strong>\u51c6\u65f6\u7ed9\u5b83\u4eec\u5582\u98df\uff0c\u706b\u9e21\u4e2d\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u7231\u56e0\u65af\u5766\uff0c\u5b83\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f1f\u5927\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8d28\u91cf\u548c\u80fd\u91cf\u662f\u7b49\u4ef7\u7684\uff0c\u54e6 \u4e0d\u5bf9\uff0c\u662f\u6bcf\u5929\u4e0a\u534810\u70b9 \u5c31\u6709\u98df\u7269\u964d\u4e34\uff0c\u4e0a\u534810\u70b9\u548c\u98df\u7269\u964d\u4e34\u662f\u7b49\u4ef7\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u611f\u6069\u8282\u90a3\u5929\uff0c\u8fd9\u7fa4\u706b\u9e21\u88ab\u5bb0\u6740\u540e\u5403\u6389\u4e86\u3002\u8fd9\u6761\u706b\u9e21\u754c\u7684\u201c\u79d1\u5b66\u5b9a\u5f8b\u201d\u5c31\u5931\u6548\u4e86\uff0c\u4e0a\u534810\u70b9\u548c\u98df\u7269\u964d\u4e34\u4e0d\u518d\u7b49\u4ef7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u90a3\u4eba\u7c7b\u76ee\u524d\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u4f1a\u50cf\u8fd9\u6761\u201c\u706b\u9e21\u7406\u8bba\u201d\u4e00\u6837\u5931\u6548\u5462\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8d28\u91cf\u548c\u80fd\u91cf\u662f\u7b49\u4ef7\u7684\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e5f\u4e00\u5b9a\u7b49\u4ef7\u5417\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u5149\u901f\u4e0d\u53d8\u201d\uff0c1\u4e07\u4ebf\u5e74\u540e \u5149\u901f\u6709\u6ca1\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u6539\u53d8\uff1f  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u725b\u987f\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5b9a\u5f8b\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u529b\u662f\u6539\u53d8\u7269\u4f53\u8fd0\u52a8\u901f\u5ea6\u7684\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u529b\u662f\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u901f\u5ea6\u6539\u53d8\u662f\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u7531\u539f\u56e0\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u56e0\u679c\u5f8b<\/strong>\u3002\u5728\u706b\u9e21\u4e16\u754c\u91cc\u9762\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fd9\u4e48\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4e0a\u534810\u70b9\u662f\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u98df\u7269\u964d\u4e34\u662f\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u63a8\u5bfc\u4e0d\u51fa\u7ed3\u679c\u554a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u4eec\u53cd\u601d\u4e00\u4e0b\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u529b\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u6539\u53d8\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u662f100%\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb<\/strong>\u5417\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u4ece\u5f97\u77e5\u56e0\u679c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u5f97\u77e5\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e8b\u7269\u603b\u662f\u4f1a\u8fde\u7ed3\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4f11\u8c1f\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u6bd4\u5982\u8bf4 \u529b\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\u4e00\u76f4\u8fde\u63a5\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u4e0a\u534810\u70b9\u548c\u98df\u7269\u51fa\u73b0\u4e00\u76f4\u8fde\u63a5\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u8d28\u91cf\u548c\u80fd\u91cf\u4e00\u76f4\u8fde\u63a5\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5b83\u4eec\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u6709\u56e0\u679c\u5f8b\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u79d1\u5b66\u91cc\u9762\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u63a8\u7406\uff0c\u800c\u56e0\u679c\u5f8b \u53c8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8bf4\u4f11\u8c1f\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u60ac\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u5934\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u628a\u5251\uff0c\u56f0\u6270\u4e86\u79d1\u5b66200\u591a\u5e74\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u54f2\u5b66\u548c\u79d1\u5b66\u7ecf\u5e38\u53d1\u751f\u4e89\u8bba\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u54f2\u5b66\u629b\u51fa\u201c\u4f11\u8c1f\u95ee\u9898\u201d\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u9a6c\u4e0a\u5c31\u4f1a\u201c\u5728\u903b\u8f91\u4e0a\u8d25\u9635\u4e0b\u6765<\/strong>\u201d\uff1b\u54f2\u5b66\u8fd8\u6709\u66f4\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7684\u201c\u8fea\u6602-\u84af\u56e0\u95ee\u9898\u201d\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5728\u903b\u8f91\u4e0a<\/strong>\u5c31\u66f4\u5931\u8d25\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u800c\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u4e3b\u4e49\u662f\u79d1\u5b66\u54f2\u5b66\u91cc\u9762\uff0c\u552f\u4e00\u80fd\u89e3\u51b3\u201c\u4f11\u8c1f\u95ee\u9898\u201d\u548c\u201c\u8fea\u6602-\u84af\u56e0\u95ee\u9898\u201d\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u89c2\u3002<\/strong>\u56e0\u4e3a\u8d1d\u53f6\u65af\u4e3b\u4e49\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u65e0\u6cd5\u53d1\u73b0100%\u6210\u7acb\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u6027\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u53d1\u73b0\u6982\u7387\u76f8\u5173\u6027<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\"\u56fe\u7247\"\/<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

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\u6b22\u8fce<\/strong>\u8ba2\u9605\u5173<\/strong>\u6ce8<\/strong>\u6211<\/strong>\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u522b\u5fd8\u4e86\u70b9\u8d5e\u3001\u70b9\u8d5e\u3001\u70b9\u8d5e~<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9053\u53ef\u9053Science\u786c\u6838\u79d1\u666e 2025-12-14 12:51\u53d1\u5e03\u4e8e\u5929\u6d25
https:\/\/news.qq.com\/rain\/a\/20251214A03QAX00<\/a>
https:\/\/www.douyin.com\/video\/7583203159254863130<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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